What is the next move?
Chess is a game of position. The position of your pieces in relation to your opponent’s pieces is crucial. It is essential that these positions are constantly evaluated according to your long term tactics. Furthermore, the players need to be aware of the value of the pieces. When you make a move, you always have to consider all the possible moves that your opponent might make. If the current crisis in Iran is put in this context, one can make a better assessment of the situation.
Based on the latest statement from Mr. Mir Hossein Mossavi, the government of Mr. Ahmadinejad planned to rig the vote months before the election. If the plan is considered as the first move of this dangerous game from the side of the government, the question is whether it had been assessed properly before being implemented; even so the way the election was handled proves that the government seriously miscalculated the game right from the beginning. This is the evidence:
a) Many of the delegates of the candidates were not allowed to enter the poll centers because they had not received their ID cards from the interior ministry.
b) The existence of 14000 mobile ballot boxes which by the definition were not monitored by the delegates.
c) Although only 45 million people were eligible to vote, 59 million and 600 thousands ballot papers were printed.
d) The ballot boxes were already sealed before the arrival of candidates’ delegates early in morning of the Election Day.
e) The results were announced three hours after the closing time. This means that more than 45 million votes were counted in three hours!
The government did not consider the possible move of its opponent. Ahmadinejad and his team for the first three days simply could not believe the reaction from their rival candidates, let alone the massive number of people in the streets of the capital which clearly outnumbered the security services and riot police.
In a capricious move, the government decided to arrest many political dissidents and increase the number of the security servicemen and move some of the pawns to confront the demonstrators. These pawns are expendable and have the lowest theoretical value in this battle. The savageness and brutality of these repugnant agents of the government are beyond belief. However, the consequence of this move was more protestors in the streets and more violence.
The notorious speech from the supreme leader can be counted as the next move. It was aimed to give the full authority to the government to eradicate the demonstrators. It was a combination of threat and ultimatum. However, the day he made that speech it was the day he entered the fray on the side of Ahmadinejad, obviously not a very good move after all. In the final move the government decided to put the blame on foreign countries, in particular the UK. This move by its very nature is a desperate one, unfounded and preposterous.
For the regime in Iran the stake could not be higher and the possibility of the checkmate is on the horizon.
Shahin M
Chess is a game of position. The position of your pieces in relation to your opponent’s pieces is crucial. It is essential that these positions are constantly evaluated according to your long term tactics. Furthermore, the players need to be aware of the value of the pieces. When you make a move, you always have to consider all the possible moves that your opponent might make. If the current crisis in Iran is put in this context, one can make a better assessment of the situation.
Based on the latest statement from Mr. Mir Hossein Mossavi, the government of Mr. Ahmadinejad planned to rig the vote months before the election. If the plan is considered as the first move of this dangerous game from the side of the government, the question is whether it had been assessed properly before being implemented; even so the way the election was handled proves that the government seriously miscalculated the game right from the beginning. This is the evidence:
a) Many of the delegates of the candidates were not allowed to enter the poll centers because they had not received their ID cards from the interior ministry.
b) The existence of 14000 mobile ballot boxes which by the definition were not monitored by the delegates.
c) Although only 45 million people were eligible to vote, 59 million and 600 thousands ballot papers were printed.
d) The ballot boxes were already sealed before the arrival of candidates’ delegates early in morning of the Election Day.
e) The results were announced three hours after the closing time. This means that more than 45 million votes were counted in three hours!
The government did not consider the possible move of its opponent. Ahmadinejad and his team for the first three days simply could not believe the reaction from their rival candidates, let alone the massive number of people in the streets of the capital which clearly outnumbered the security services and riot police.
In a capricious move, the government decided to arrest many political dissidents and increase the number of the security servicemen and move some of the pawns to confront the demonstrators. These pawns are expendable and have the lowest theoretical value in this battle. The savageness and brutality of these repugnant agents of the government are beyond belief. However, the consequence of this move was more protestors in the streets and more violence.
The notorious speech from the supreme leader can be counted as the next move. It was aimed to give the full authority to the government to eradicate the demonstrators. It was a combination of threat and ultimatum. However, the day he made that speech it was the day he entered the fray on the side of Ahmadinejad, obviously not a very good move after all. In the final move the government decided to put the blame on foreign countries, in particular the UK. This move by its very nature is a desperate one, unfounded and preposterous.
For the regime in Iran the stake could not be higher and the possibility of the checkmate is on the horizon.
Shahin M
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